Unless I am riding them
I do not like cycles.
This is mainly because
humans tend to put fixed times on them in a universe where there are
very few rules.
Very often and for the
longest time I have heard that the Sun works on cycles that last for
11 years and along with everything else they state about the Sun, and
other things for that matter. You cannot apply constants to many
things.
Well as it turns out
and now that I am looking into it the cycles that the Sun goes
through are not strictly 11 years .. fancy that?
So now I have
discovered the actual RANGE of the cycles going from the shortest to
longest durations I can think once again about this and make more
confident statements instead of pie in the sky estimates.
So going aover a new
chart I found that runs from 1604 to 1810 the range seems to run from
9 years to 12.8 years and even is you add in the 200 missing years I
very much doubt it would change a great deal fro this range?
Doubt it would be as
short as 8.5 years or more than 13.
There was one other
thing I need to figure out too .. because I know what people are
going to say and think .. as soon as there hear news of an increase
in Sunspot activity, if there ever is one, they will state that
everything is back to normal. Again no prior knowledge in any of
this.
Except everyone seems
to know that a kettle boils in minutes because of the amount of power
and a tropical aquarium that is setup takes a long time to reach the
thermostatically controlled temperature and that if the wattage is
too low .. the water temperature will rise to a point but never
actually reach that temperature.
The point is that it
takes time.
The fact is that the
climate has become warmer during periods because of a successive
number of Sunspots over a given amount.
Alternatively below a
given amount of a number of cycles it cools.
With each cycle the
thermostat is switched on but set at different levels .. and then
switched off for a given period of time.
Not at the start of
cycle 23 around 1997 this switching off was not even off completely
and lasted only about 6 months going by the charts available.
Now the peak of Cycle
23 ended up lower than they expected it to be t a average lower than
150 whereas the peak of Cycle 22 was closer to 200 and Cycle 21
higher than that. Three peaks over an average period of 33 years ..
continuously dropping. Because Cycle 24 ended up at well under 100
Sunspots average.
The last time you have
three consecutive drops in the peak average Sunspots was at the start
of a very cool period called the Dalton Minimum. This was a little
after the industrial revolution started and around 100 years after
another even colder period that lasted over 100 years they called the
Little Ice Age, or Maunder Minimum.
Now also judging from
charts and what people are saying is this ..that the trough or low
point at the start of Cycle 24 .. lingered .. like 6 months or more.
In the Maunder Minimum that was the Little Ice Age it never came out
of that for trough for at least three decades .. or rather the peaks
had less than 50 Sunspots on average.
I finally had someone
talk about the time span using the thermostatic theory I mentioned
too which was what I was waiting to hear. That is the estimate people
have for the effects upon the temperature in relation to when the Sun
is over acting or not at all. Think heater in a fish tank as I
mentioned earlier. When I also said thet hearing that there are
Sunspots does NOT equate to danger averted. It is time and quantity
dependent. Not 'might be' dependent or 'possibly' dependent .. as in
this instance 'dependent' means what it says and I am not a pro
climate change socialist.
Now the very .. very ..
very shortest time span I have heard from those studying this is two
years .. while a someone they know sates they think its three years
and others say a decade or more.
David Dubyne talks
about this with someone here ..
Now lets take a mid
range of that 2 to 10 years and say 5. There are likely theories that
say more but you want to pray that is not the case due to how the
maths works out.
Now as of right now and
as far as they are talking in conversations the Sun has had bugger
all Sunspots for most of 2018 .. so far this year we have also had
very few and that upward trend has not started. I will repeat that ..
this upward trend as NOT .. started.
So that means that the
temps will continue to fall .. based on it taking 5 years, remember?
How fast it falls depends on activity in Sunspots rising. Not warming
up .. how fast it will COOL DOWN!
Cycle 24 was very
small. That is it. That is what everyone is saying looking into this
and it was already bad news. Now were in an inactive period that is
lasting longer than anything for a long time and it matters not if
the Sunspot activity increases BECAUSE ..
- We are already in a very long inactive period, 6 months is longest on recent times
- It needs to raise sooner rather than later ..
- It needs to get back up to over 200 Sunspots and
- Has not been above 200 since 1950
- Around 200 between 1980 and 1990
- Yeah it will take 5 years for that heating effect to take place
- It is now half expected that Cycle 25 Peak will be between 40 and 60 Sunspots
- This PEAK (not RISE) should be reached in 2025
- It should have been reached in 2022
- Last trough to peak took 6 years
- One before took 4 years
- If Sunspots remain non existent for next 9 months ..
- Wont be until around 2026 and will be pushed back a year for every year we have no Sunspots
- So we have to wait until, in theory, 2030 before the planet stops cooling down and starts warming up again ..
- Only provided that the Sunspot activity hits well over 120 average Sunspots at its next peak and might need to be above 200?
- Around 1960 Sunspots averaged around 300 for comparison
- Last time much of this happened prior to Maunder Minimum of the ..
- Little Ice Age along with ..
- Increased seismic and volcanic activity thought this time ..
- The numbers are higher for last few years than they was at the onset of the Maunder Minimum
- Meaning that there is a lot more particulates in the atmosphere and that ..
- This is increasing several volcanoes are erupting according to ..
- The Watchers
- The Smithsonian Institute
- Now here is what did not happen at the onset of the Maunder Minimum
- Pole Reversal!
- What I have not figured out did not occur ..
- Magnetosphere Weakening
- Other things might or are impossible to know
- 24 Volcanic eruptions around 1650 could be higher
- 2018 had 36 Volcanic Eruptions
- Volcanic Outpouring has to be a factor in cooling air temperature
- Volcanic eruptions under water may be significant in snow production too?
- Higher then sea temperature the more evaporation .. right?
Ohh
boiling and heating up of seawater via submerged volcanoes we know so
very little about and cannot monitor. Well you would need proof of
this? And that it occurred in the time frames set out that this has
been going on now for a few decades. Oh but that would then have to
be .. say .. the last decade at least? Since the unusually low peak
of Cycle 23. Which was followed by an even lower peak?
Does
it matter if its from a fake news site and that they spotted a giant
sized piece of rock floating in the ocean?
I
am afraid that the NBC webpage is going to point out something that
should be obviously mathematically. Given how much water covers this
planet .. is it not reasonable to assume that most of the volcanoes
erupting are underwater? So if those 36 erupting volcanoes reported
for 2018 are all on land .. does this therefore mean that another 72
or more were erupting underwater?
A
Few Points ..
- This is hard to know even today
- Impossible to know how many back at the start of the Maunder Minimum
- Using the same maths .. could it have been 48 around the year 1650?
- Sun decreasing cools the are temperature
- Volcanoes erupting increases the water temperature
- Much warmer water and .. much colder air ..
- Hmm I wonder what that could mean, eh?
Now to me .. its all so bloody damned obvious the mechanics and the
processes involved and it has only become obvious because of a number
of datasets of number in various sciences that normally remain within
given sets of parameters which are now straying beyond them for
unusual amounts of time.
I have stated it and I have stated t and I have stated it .. but the
next 12 months are so very key .. and not just because this trough in
Cycle 25 may persist longer than the last three .. but that this
could very well continue the volcanic activity.
This could be half of that of 2018, which result in 18 eruptions and
way, way, way above the norm.
Or this could be half as much again to double that of 2018 .. so 54.
The remained at less than 5 for several years until 2017 when it
leapt to 8. Then it leapt to 36 for 2018 and a continued rise at that
rate would mean over 150 eruptions. Now that .. I just cannot see
happening. This would also be globally catastrophic and would leave
to many Extinction Level Events.
That which has already been put into the atmosphere is already having
affects .. in the form or crazy orange skies, seen in Britain and
America in 2017 and 2018 respectively. Added to this is this strange
phenomena they call Sun Dogs.
Looking towards the Sun people are seeing a ring .. with what appears
to be the appearance of two smaller suns on either side.
Think a mirage in a desert or gravitational lensing in astrophysics
to get an idea of what this might look like though they are in a
video I will proved below. Just ignored the cosmic-human links to
what is going on and just look at the weather disasters and phenomena
alone.
As mentioned earlier with the Sun Dog phenomena .. here is a video by
Sign Of The Times .. or SOTT . Seen their videos before and have been
interesting. Do not know much about them and I certainly don't buy
some human-cosmic connection .. human magnetosphere connection ..
then yes. I have theorised about this myself. Cosmic? No.
So ignore that, which is only at the end anyway. This is twenty
minutes of weird events from snowfall, record cold temperatures,
animal behaviour going nuts, Metre of snow in Italian Dolomites. Oh
crap .. missed this one .. Atacama Desert effing flooding?! That is
now Death Valley and the Atacama the two driest places on Earth?!
Monster storm floods in California .. cows die from heat in
Argentina, Dam breaks in Brazil, Lake Tahoe frozen. Heavy snow and
blackout in Czech Republic. Winds in Pyrenees in France. Landslide in
kills 11 Bolivia. 9 feet of snow in California. Unexplained sounds in
Austin, Texas. Heavy rain and melting snow in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Weird sounds also heard in the Netherlands. Odd increase in
fireballs in Mediterranean Sea and USA. Flash floods Saudi Arabia.
Rising flood waters in Queensland, Australia. Powerful storm kills 5
in Rio De Janeiro in Brazil. Heavy snow in Kashmir in India.
Pakistan gets record snowfall and heaviest in 48 years. Volcano in
Indonesia erupts at Siau Island. Tornado in India. Record negative
24,4C in Hokkaido, Japan. Rare snow in Seattle. Deadly mudslide in
Peru. Fireball in Venezuela in weird increase in these,
magnetosphere? Sinkhole in Indonesia. Flash floods Peru. Wildfires in
Chile. New Zealand worst forest fires in sixty years. Snow in Hawaii
for first time ever. Record snowfall in Moscow, Russia. Blanket of
snow across Greece. Thousands cows die in Queensland, Australia from
massive floods. Dozens fishing boats stranded in Northern China .. in
ice. Fireball Florida and another in Texas which makes three
countries or more just in this one video. Unusually long winter in
Pakistan (America too). The Three Suns or Sun Dogs phenomena in
Russia. Mud slide San Francisco. Thousands Cuttlefish wash up on
beach in Chile. Australian river swells until it is 37 miles wide.
Black Snow in Siberia.
Ooh breather .. before umm ..
Dustnado in Guatemala. Landslides in India. Large sinkholes appearing
in Turkey. Or 18 trillion gallons of rain in California. Odd one with
Measles outbreak in Madagascar killing nearly 1,000 children. NASA
image satellite images on two winters comparing vat difference in
snowfall. Locust swarms of Red Sea sparks UN warning. The beach
recedes by 100 metres in Yucatan, Mexico. Snowstorm halts town in
Russia. Mount Etna in Italy erupts yet again. Eruption at Reunion
Island in Indian Ocean. Two inches of snow in Las Vegas. Massive
hailstorm in India. Dead Whale washed up in North Carolina (was one
in Amazon too). Record snow in Quebec, Canada. Winter storm in
Kansas City. A 100ft sinkhole appears in Montenegro. Thundersnow in
Dublin Ohio and not Ireland.
Then you have had a Dustnado and now a Snownado in New Mexico, USA.
Three feet, yes 36 inches, of snow in Flagstaff, Arizona. Pakistan
flash flood leave 36 dead. A 5.5 magnitude earthquake triggers huge
landslides in Hakkaido, Japan. A 7.7 magnitude earthquake hits Peru
and El Salvador border. Heavy snow leads to roofs needing to be
cleared in Colorado. Very bizarre Pink Fog in Devon in the UK. Three
sinkholes in Anatolia. Malta Marathon cancelled due to cold weather
in 2019. Humpback Whale found in the mouth of Amazon river. Snow and
gale force winds across Greece. Bomb cyclone in US. Saskatchewan in
the US coldest February in 80 years. Record breaking winds batter
coast of Croatia. Record rainfall in Crete. Ice Tsunami in Great
Lakes. Over 20 inches of rain in 48 hours in Northern California.
Powerful winds in Maine bend a radio tower in half. Snowfall record
for Squaw Valley California as it gets over 500 inches .. yup that is
what it states. That is over 40 feet of snow in a month .. or close
to 15 metres. Flooding in Ammam, Jordan.
Do not believe all of that? You know if I could list a dozen things
that I know about not listed about, right?
Many volcanoes of significance missing. Russia, South America, Japan,
Kilauea and Antarctica. Hoodwinker Sunfish off course washed up on a
beach in California. Those orange skies. Rift opening up in Africa.
Then there are other things like technology failing of which my own I
have seen nothing quite like it, transformers exploding and planes
either crashing or entire fleets being grounded by President Trump.
Oh yeah watch a video if you did not believe al of the former listed
.. the LATTER I have already covered ..
I stated many times it is hard to imagine things going on for much
more than 12 to 24 months without the proverbial cat getting well and
truly out of the bag.
Then I see videos like this and it is hard to imagine it going for
much more than 6 months if the data is anything to go by?
A series or bigger than average volcano eruptions or one very big one
can literally shorten all of this and bring dates rapidly forwards.
Like flowers frozen in the belly of Mammoths type speed.
It is not question of 'IF' .. for me .. it is a question of 'HOW
LONG?'
At first I thought this was hundreds of years. Seeing the first data
I thought this was maybe over a decade .. then looking at the rate of
movements I realised it was going to be way sooner than even these
people were stating. They changed their estimates to around 2028 to
2030 while I started to think more like 2024 at the latest and with a
significant or indeed many volcanic eruptions .. way sooner.
If the magnetic pole numbers continue on for the next year as they
have for the past four or five then .. hoo boy! The following year of
2021 will be bad and I cannot see how you can go beyond 2021 with a
very big volcanic eruption along with a large San Andreas fault
earthquake, possibly mega-earthquake?
You will here people advise you to go to higher ground .. or even
underground? Yeah .. do not do that ..
Half the picture means you still have half the puzzle pieces.
Yeah as they are worried about mega-quakes .. and they do not even
have to be quite mega-quakes for this little thing to become a
serious problem and this is not a way I would want to go ..
Liquefaction ..
Is
the process whereby the ground shakes so much that the earth, soil
and sand becomes like water and anything on the surface would
effectively become like a lead weight. You would sink like a stone.
So
yeah .. make sure you on VERY solid ground.
Now
.. the maximum number of previous consecutive drops in peak solar
Sunspot activity numbers in the records available to all publicly?
Now
that number would be 3 .. so three consecutive drops and this has
happened only twice in 400 years .. 400 years and only happened twice
.. think about that ..
- 1800's known as the Dalton Minimum and ..
- 260 to 80 odd Sunspots resulted in cold period
- 1850 only the peaks were way higher starting at around 220 and dropping to around 180
- So this does not count
- Now present day ..
- FOUR CONSECUTIVE DROPS!!
- Are we THERE yet?!
- Going from 220 average to 80
- Few years for the temps to be affected do not forget ..
- If the next peak is LOWER than 80 Sunspots that would be FIVE CONSECUTIVE DROPS!
Now
you have read all that .. what about the things that will make it an
absolute certainty?
- 10 YEARS ..
- The Sunspot activity does increase and it peaks at lower than 60
- Slow Speed Descent into Ice-Age that might see it officially arrive in 2030
- 5 YARS ..
- 2021 comes round and there is no rise in the Sunspot numbers and it will already be bloody cold by then ..
- Medium Speed Descent into Ice-Age if there is such a thing? Arrival around 2025
- 2 Years or less
- Series or large volcanoes go off ..
- Could be months to a year or two
- A FEW MONTHS ..
- Super-volcano erupts ..
- Could be days or even hours
- Even stating all of the above ..
- If Sunspot Activity does reach levels of over 200 between 2022 to 2026 ..
- It will take anywhere between 2 and 10 years for that to take effect ..
- Thermostat in a fish tank, remember?!
Now
here is my own graph from my own spreadsheet though I will state the
following ..
Many
of the graphs are factual but they are dreadful in both their design
and they way they plot things .. leaves a lot to be desired. There
the ranges are more or less accurate there does, at times, appear to
be slight discrepancies from one chart or graph to the next.
What
also made this frustratingly difficult is that once I learnt how to
read a chart or graph I then realised it was not complete. I did not
find a single chart that was easy to read, gave enough details and
ran from way prior to the Maunder Minimum around 1640 to present day.
One
example of issues is that I could not discover just how many
consecutive drops in Sunspot peaks prior to the Little Ice-Age. Could
not tell you if it was just two or ten.
Other
charts only seem to run up to around the year 2000, which seemed
somewhat odd to me to even include in your lists. Though I may have
done this too? So have a laugh if I did.
So
based on all of these annoying little pains I jotted some numbers
into a spreadsheet and made a bar graph.
Just
did this today despite the fact I have typed this out, answered the
phone three times and my fingers and hands are in a lot of pain. It
gave me a simply bar graph though that represents the points I have
made.
It
does, however, requires more work and will probably be added to and
altered over the coming months as the data emerges.
- Number 33 is the estimate for the peak of Solar Cycle 25 not due to arrive until 2023 to 2025
- It is seriously looking to be late, should be by 2024
- Once it starts to rise takes 5.5 years approx ..
- Close to mid 2019 .. puts that peak at 2025, one year late
- IF IT STARTS RISING NOW
- Number 32 is the one we had in late 2013
- Solar Cycle 24
- Now into 5th year .. the Sunspots should be rising by now
- 11 Year Cycle .. 5.5 years dropping .. 5.5 years rising
- Another year with no rise means over 6.5 years drop , two years flat-lining
- Both unprecedented
- 13 plus year long cycle also unprecedented
- Just three more things among others that are unprecedented
- Remember .. 33 Cycles .. above .. averaging 11 years each
- That is 360 years of records
The
numbers along the bottom are not correct in the actual Solar
Cycle official Numbers ..
Been
thinking of these acts by the Sun of it moving all that junk? I mean
its fusion, right? Turning one elements into another, right? God only
knows how that works in that massive furnace? Possibly when
quantities reach a point there is an exchange that goes on between
the layers?
Also
please be advised that there have been people talking about this for
between 5 and 10 years and that everything that a great many things
that they predicted has come to light and shows no signs of changing.
Some
have been predicting these things for 5 years while others have done
this for closer to 10 years which is wildly impressive considering
their lack of resources and budgets.
Unfortunately
this also brings absolute shame onto those with big budgets and major
resources and especially those that have peddled the official climate
change crap with carbon and man being to blame.
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