Showing posts with label Sunspots average. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sunspots average. Show all posts

Thursday, 11 April 2019

SOLAR CYCLES COMPARISONS

That last post on the NOAA nonsense was kind of eating away at me while I was beavering away at other  .. things .. and its been annoying me not having anything truly definitive .. soo ..

I wanted to see if I could find a single chart on solar cycles where I could map put a previously lengthy solar minimum like this one?

Curiously I stumbled across this ..

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/09/solar-activity-report-the-sun-is-still-in-a-funk/

So then I found this and I did state before that yes the Little Ice Age was called the Maunder Minimum but that it was not the last cooling period and there is one called the Dalton Minimum.

Now before you go and start thinking that the green line is us currently and we are on a rise .. no .. once again this is something with .. parts missing.

We have done Solar Cycle 24 and that had a peak of less than 100 and is listed as 83 Sunspots at its peak.

Now note two things from this chart .. other than the dates of 1800 ..

  • There were two consecutive drops in the peak numbers
  • We just had three consecutive drops
  • After Solar Cycle 5 at during 1809 the solar minimum flat-lines for around 18 months
  • That flat-lining is the longest I have been able to determine
  • It is a very old record and might not be accurate
So we have had to go back over 200 years to find something similar to what is going on today and yet judging from what I can determine and from what everyone is saying .. 

We are on a solar minimum or a flat-lining of Sunspots that seems to have lasted around 14 to 16 months thus far and as for enough Sunspots appearing to indicate we are officially rising?

This has not occurred.

My gut feeling was from what I have previously seen is that if the Sunspots showed no signs of rising by the end of 2019 this could be very bad news.

Even if it did rise and it failed to reach say 60 Sunspots at its peak or even less then 80? Well this would be four consecutive drops and strongly suggest there would not be a rise again for decades.

We have not had three consecutive drops as far as I can tell but this ix extremely hard when your dealing with eras that were a long time ago .. and we have detailed records going back only a very short time in comparison.

Also please note that as well as the number of Sunspots at its peak it also does not always flat-line entirely as with Solar Cycle 3 it looks like it does not go down below about about 10 or 8.

Sunspots are directly linked to heat from the Sun and first noticed by William Herschel who linked this in to the price of Wheat.

Barely any Sunspots for 6 months is not unheard of but unusual and you have to go back a ways to find this. People are checking the Sun for spots and they have for a while been listing the umber of days in double figures without seeing any at all. Sure I recall a few times of over thirty or forty days without seeing one. You will get a few here and there. You would have done in the Maunder Minimum they call the Little Ice Age. Its the averages at the peaks and troughs that are important and no peaks is disastrous.

If the averages do not start to rise by the end of 2019 the chances are this ..

  • Winter 2019-2020 going to be colder and longer
  • This trend will continue for at least 5.5 years
  • Increases in Volcanic Eruptions WILL speed up the cooling
  • We need a peak of well above 150 Sunspots and two years after this occurs for any cooling to slow down and this point wont arrive until 2026 at the earliest
So we clear on this?

  • Winters will get colder and longer for 7 years
  • Speed of decreases in temperature and longevity of winters also dependent on volcanoes .. the more gas and particulates are pumped into the atmosphere the quicker it cools and therefore the longer the winters will get

Everything that western governments, NASA, NOAA and the United Nations has been doing seems to be based on the idea of something occurring around 2028 to 2030 and it appeared this way before I stumbled across this data.

I had initially, ask my daughter, though a comet or asteroid was coming and that a report from a few years back about a possible strike in 2029 that they later reported would never happen might be a cover up.

I really should have clicked when we saw those orange skies.

Among lots of people yelling and freaking out, one even laughing and yelling "Its Aliens!!" it was surreal to see and my spider-sense was going off.

After this data I actually bothered to research and found that the USA had experienced these orange skies too, namely reported by the New York Post as occurring in the Big Apple.


Yeah so they have stated there is no evidence or data to suggest anything is going on when the governments of the western world are acting in ways no one has ever seen before and collectively so like they are panicking about something?

Yeah I call bullshit!

#ProjectDistraction!

SPOT THE DISTRACTING LIES

Bullshit Detection Alert: SOLAR CYCLES ..

So this is from 'The Watchers' website which is quite good for information but is regarding a panel on Solar Cycles from NOAA. Kind of like Britain's BGS and their official body for these things .. so kinda think NASA if your not familiar.

"Scientists charged with predicting the Sun’s activity for the next 11-year solar cycle say that it’s likely to be weak, much like the current one - Solar Cycle 24. The current cycle is declining and predicted to reach solar minimum late in 2019 or 2020. The next peak activity is expected between 2023 and 2026"

Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel experts said Solar Cycle 25 may have a slow start, but is anticipated to peak with solar maximum occurring between 2023 and 2026, and a sunspot range of 95 to 130"

Right .. it is supposed to arrive in 2022 and it cannot currently before 2024 if the cycle rises TODAY!

Will get to this prediction momentarily to reverse the cooling it needs to be above 130 .. the higher the faster the reversal .. but still take TWO YEARS minimum for effect

"This is well below the average number of sunspots, which typically ranges from 140 to 220 sunspots per solar cycle"

Can be as high as 300 .. consecutively high peaks will gradually raise the temps up .. I.E. Global Warming ..

"However, the panel has high confidence that the coming cycle should break the trend of weakening solar activity seen over the past four cycles"

Nothing on the data can give anyone any confidence of any kind .. and they are so dull of confidence that it then states ..

"We expect Solar Cycle 25 will be very similar to Cycle 24: another fairly weak cycle, preceded by a long, deep minimum" said panel co-chair Lisa Upton, Ph.D., solar physicist with Space Systems Research Corp

Yup .. as you can see extremely high confidence considering we are in a solar minimum that is twice as long as the previous longest minimum on the back of three consecutive drops in the numbers of average Sunspots at the Solar Cycle peaks with itself as never occurred before ..

"Solar Cycle 24 reached its maximum - the period when the Sun is most active - in April 2014 with a peak average of 82 sunspots"

That peak was late .. and was predicted by SOMEONE ELSE who I suggest people pay more attention to. Look up my blog post 'The Solar Prediction' which contains a link to a video of said prediction in 2012.

Also note that less than 100 Sunspots has not occurred for 170 years and a third drop in a row has not occurred since PRIOR to the Maunder Minimum.

These people are completely full of it and I am totally amazed they are paid for their positions. The only thing they are doing here is trying not to panic using nothing more than the mathematical odds of these events occurring or getting worse. We all call this 'GAMBLING'.

"there is no indication that we are currently approaching a Maunder-type minimum in solar activity"

Errrrrr .. YES THERE KINDA IS .. JUST A LITTLE BIT ..

Torsional Oscillations, Three consecutive drops in peak average Sunspots number which has not happened post Maunder Minimum, less then 100 Sunspot last peak not happened for 170 years, no mention of the confirmed connection in volcanic eruptions which have increased and DO contribute to a global cooling. No mention of Sunspots and wheat prices as first noted by William Herschel. Record Snowfall, records broken for low temperatures, animal migration of kilt. Rise in UV rays, rise in cosmic rays, spreading up of poles shifting, magnetosphere weakening, Global Positioning Systems being reprogrammed 18 months ahead of schedule, scientists lying about very obvious increase in seismic activity on BBC News 24, same BBC News stating in 2024 that were heading for a mini ice-age .. need I go on?

At the same time .. would like to know exactly how they decide on indicators for one thing that has hot occurred for 350 years and others for tens of thousands of years or hundreds of thousands.

But are ignoring a dozen data sets mostly with unprecedented or unusual results.

Quite bizarre too that they are also not mentioning another cooling minimum, known as the Dalton Minimum and this was POST Little Ice Age of the Maunder Minimum, or even cooling in general, no?

Notice also that is clearly stated that which I put for the average Sunspots in my blog, 82 to 85 ish, and YET .. what does the chart on the page show? It shows clearly around 120 Sunspots with a ghosted image looking similar.



Now they are expecting the same or higher .. well it needs to be a lot higher otherwise it will just get colder .. only at a slower pace. Two years minimum delay do not forget? Well other people are expecting a peak, of of course we get one at all, to be 60 or less .. which will also be bad news.

Last chance at #ProjectDistraction

https://watchers.news/2019/04/09/solar-cycle-25-prediction/